Caerphilly Proves Why Nigel Farage Will Never Be Prime Minister
Reform UK can win headlines and poll numbers, but with no friends and many enemies, they’ll never win power.
The Caerphilly by-election is a warning shot for Nigel Farage. Reform UK may be rising in the polls, but last week’s result shows why he’s destined to fall short of No 10: his party has no friends and plenty of enemies.
In Caerphilly, Reform surged to second place with nearly 36 per cent of the vote – yet Plaid Cymru took the seat. It wasn’t love for Plaid that carried the day, but tactical voting designed to keep Reform out.
That dynamic – voters uniting against Farage – is exactly what we can expect at the next general election.
Farage’s problem isn’t popularity; it’s isolation. The Conservatives have ruled out any alliance, while Labour, Plaid, the Lib Dems and Greens all see Reform as a threat. In a system that punishes parties without partners, Reform’s lack of allies is fatal.
Author's summary: Nigel Farage's party lacks allies.
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