Democrats edge out incumbent Republican in key swing state poll

Democrats Edge Ahead in Michigan Poll

A new survey shows Democratic contenders slightly leading Republican Representative Tom Barrett in Michigan’s 7th Congressional District, which includes the state capital, Lansing. The district supported President Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election but now reflects shifting momentum ahead of the 2026 midterms.

Nationwide Democratic Surge

On Tuesday, Democrats secured significant victories nationwide, including in New York’s mayoral race, and gubernatorial contests in Virginia and New Jersey. California’s redistricting plans further bolstered the party’s optimism heading into the next election cycle.

Key Political Balance

Michigan remains one of the most closely watched battlegrounds in the United States. Of its 13 House seats, seven are currently held by Republicans and six by Democrats. Both of the state’s U.S. senators are Democrats. Nationally, Republicans maintain a narrow 219–213 majority in the U.S. House of Representatives, making each seat crucial to control of Congress.

Traditionally, the party not occupying the White House performs better in midterm elections.

Looking Toward 2026

Representative Barrett, who took office following his 2024 victory, now faces strong Democratic challengers as the party seeks to gain congressional ground and balance President Trump’s remaining term.

Author’s Summary

New polling in Michigan’s 7th District highlights growing Democratic momentum as both parties prepare for a fiercely contested 2026 midterm season.

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Newsweek Newsweek — 2025-11-05

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