UTSA vs. South Florida Prediction: Odds, Picks, and Best Bet
USF and UTSA face off in a crucial Thursday night clash that could shape the American Athletic Conference race. While both programs have endured uneven seasons, they remain among the strongest in the Group of Five.
USF’s Season Outlook
South Florida emerged as one of the early surprises of the season with statement wins over Boise State and Florida. However, a recent loss to Memphis has cast doubt on the Bulls’ hopes for a College Football Playoff appearance. The AAC Championship Game is still within reach, but USF must win out and receive help from other results.
UTSA’s Chances
UTSA’s championship chances are slimmer, yet a victory over USF could keep its hopes alive. Entering as a two-score underdog, the Roadrunners have proven they can surprise stronger opponents. Their 48–26 home win against Tulane in Week 10 was their best performance of the year, especially after a heavy 55–17 defeat to North Texas the week before.
Performance Analysis
These contrasting results highlight UTSA’s inconsistency in 2025. The team possesses a high-powered offense but has struggled defensively. According to SP+ metrics, UTSA ranks 37th nationally in offense but just 98th in defense.
USF shows more balance on both sides of the ball, ranking 22nd in offense and 63rd in defense. This stronger two-way performance gives the Bulls a statistical advantage heading into the matchup.
"Just ask Tulane, which got throttled at the Alamodome, 48–26, in Week 10."
Key Takeaway
The matchup promises fireworks between two dynamic yet flawed teams, with USF slightly favored to prevail due to its more consistent form.
Author’s summary: A high-stakes AAC matchup where USF seeks redemption and UTSA looks to revive its fading title hopes in a volatile clash of offense and defense.