Paul's Props and Touchdowns: 2025 Week 9

Paul’s Props and Touchdowns: 2025 Week 9

Paul Kelly analyzes the Fantasy Points projections to uncover key differences and identify the strongest player prop and touchdown betting opportunities.

Player Props Record

2021: 75–47 (61.5%)
2022: 85–68 (55.6%)
2023: 79–59 (57.2%)
2024: 70–50 (58.3%)
2025: 32–18 (64.0%, +10.21 units)

Week 9 Preview

Although Week 8 brought our first losing record in player props, it felt inevitable after a solid run. Now it's time to bounce back and refocus for Week 9.

Method and Process

Several years ago, Paul began manually comparing John Hansen’s player projections with the props set by sportsbooks. By identifying the biggest gaps between those numbers, he was able to find strong betting edges.

“I used to look up each prop manually, but now our prop finder tool does the heavy lifting. I review the discrepancies, choose my favorite props, and then search the books for the best odds.”

With these enhanced tools, Paul continues refining his strategy to locate the most promising player prop and touchdown bets each week.

Author’s Summary

Paul Kelly explains how he tracks statistical gaps between projections and sportsbook odds to deliver value-driven prop and touchdown bets for Week 9 of 2025.

Fantasy Points — 2025-11-01